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How Can Investors In The Stock Market Correctly Use The Window Of Time To Speculate?

2011/4/8 11:19:00 123

Cycle Analysis Of Investors' Time Window

In some reviews of stock market and exchange market, we often hear

a window of time

This term, a window of time, may be understood by many friends. But how to use the window of time correctly is not what all friends know, and today we talk about the correct application of the window of time.


The window of time is an application method of cycle. There are different ways of using cycles, different theories and different technical analysis tools. The cycle of application in wave theory is based on the case of the numberac number.

We often say that the window of time is actually Fipona's odd number used in wave theory. The odd number of Fipona is the simplest figure 123, which is the basic number sequence. Add the last two figures of this simple example, add 1+2=3 2+3=5 3+5=8 5+8=13 8+13=21 13+21=34 21+ 34=55 34+55=89 55+89=144, we can draw Fipona odd number 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144...

To infinity.


What's the use of this example? When we analyze the price trend, we all hope to find the inflection point of the trend, that is, the top and bottom. In actual combat, some important top to top time, bottom to bottom time, top to bottom time, and bottom to top time are mostly in the number of these cases. For example, we often see a price trend corresponding to a high point in front of which is usually 34 days, 55 days, or 13 weeks, 21 weeks, etc., or a trend starts at the lowest point, and ends in 13 weeks, 21 weeks, 34 weeks or 55 weeks.

Therefore, in the course of a trend, we will pay close attention to the time when the inflection point is likely to occur. In general, it is called the window of time that is easy to appear in the inflection point. The window of time is basically a synonym for Fipona's odd case.


  

The basic theory of time window is not difficult to understand, but its practical application has certain skills.


First, the window of time.

Cycle analysis

It is a method which belongs to the wave theory. The analysis of the three factors in the wave theory is the combination of wave form. When the price trend comes to a window of time, we must first observe whether there is a top and bottom shape. If there is a possibility of the top and bottom in the wave shape, if there is a time period to match the probability of the top and bottom, it will be very large. But if there is no obvious characteristic of the top and bottom, there will be a window of time. It can not be used as a criterion for judging the top and bottom, because the importance of form, proportion and cycle in wave theory is decreasing.

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Second, the cycle principle of time window does not apply to the trend of that time level. That is to say, when we reach the monthly line, from small to 5 minutes, we can apply the example of the number of the towers to find the top and bottom. What exactly do we want to take? Generally speaking, the large and small cycles should be used together, because they will have small cycles in the big cycle. They are not contradictory, for example, the 21 day cycle. That is exactly the five week cycle. It is only the first day of fifth weeks that the top and bottom of twenty-first days may be bigger.

So in application, we should first study the large form and the large time cycle, then use the small cycle to find the specific time that the price trend may reverse.

比如,本月是距离前一个高点的13个月,现在价格在上涨,那这个月可能会出现一个顶部,如果价格在下跌,那出现底部的可能就比较大,比如我们从大形态和大周期上看到本月月线可能要出现一个顶部,那具体是那一周呢那我们就要用周线推算,可以从上个高点推算下来,如果推到某一周是55周那,这周出现高点的可能性就较大,或者从13个月之前那个高点后面出现的一个最低点推算,看到这个月的哪一周是个重要的时间周期,找到具体那周是两个大周期的交汇点,同时再从日线上找,看这周中的那一天与前面的短期内的走势的高低点是个对应的周期点,这样就可以基本判断出来在那一天可能出现转折点。


  第三,使用时间之窗,要注意不要提前,最好滞后,比如这周是个重要的时间之窗,而且价格形态上有可能出现拐点,但如果我们周一就入场去找顶或者找底,那如果顶底出现这个周的周五,那你想想,五天的时间,价格变化会有多么大的变化,我们无法承受价格上的那么大误差,今年6月初英镑对日元的那个高点,我们本来推算出来它是对应前面最高价的21周的时间,但我们在周初就做了空单,结果被它反复折腾几天,而且我在周五的策略里面还写到了,再熬过今天英日的空单就没事了,可恰恰是在周五晚上英日在消息刺激下瞬间打出205以上的高点,而且打掉我们止损就快速回落,结果那波行情我们错过了一大段。

Therefore, the time period can be used to calculate the top and bottom of a place, so it is best to wait for the panic trend to be able to basically confirm that the top and bottom appear, but if there is no panic disk, then be careful, because any larger base will not appear very gently. It will be possible to make a single advance without panic plates, and it is very likely to be swept away when the panic disk appears.

If an important window of time appears on the top and bottom and then comes into operation, there will be no problem of getting rid of the stop and go back. At the same time, it can also stop the damage with the top and bottom already appeared, and the relative operational difficulty will be reduced.


Fourth, the case of the numberac number can also help us to judge a part.

Adjustment pattern

The end time (because the big adjustment itself can be a trend), such as the adjustment of the local price trend, how long does it need to be adjusted? At the same time, we can use the time cycle of the time chart to calculate the adjustment pattern, such as 21 hours, 34 four hours and so on. If the placement of an adjustment occurs just on a small time window of the time division diagram, we can also regard the confluence of this form and time as the market entry point.

In addition, sometimes the price adjustment is completed by consolidation. How long does the consolidation form last long? This can also be calculated with a small window of time, for example, the small size consolidation zone at the daily level is usually 5 days, 8 days or 13 days.

Intermediate adjustment time is about 21 days, which helps us find a better market timing.


 
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